Results vs. Optimal

Your actual lineups vs. the model, the strategy, and the perfect-hindsight optimal, across 13 completed races.

You (actual)
83%
your real lineups
Model (Metric 5)
74%
top-5 True Strength
Strategy 5
73%
save/spend allocation
Optimal
3082
perfect-hindsight pts

Your scoring by race — where the points came from

RaceTotalPicksStageFinishLapH2H
Season total2886253662319058350
Charlotte Motor Speedway23920959149130
Watkins Glen International18816841126120
Texas Motor Speedway20017033137030
Talladega Superspeedway16313321112030
Kansas Speedway23821854163120
Bristol Motor Speedway29225267184140
Martinsville Speedway24022059160120
Darlington Raceway24522556169020
Las Vegas Motor Speedway27823863174140
Phoenix Raceway24522562162120
Circuit of The Americas20917928150130
EchoPark Speedway18216244118020
Daytona International Speedway16713736101030

Picks = your 5 starters' total (Stage + Finish + Lap). H2H = head-to-head bonus (10 per correct matchup). Picks + H2H = Total.

Your model vs. optimal, race by race

You (actual) = your real 5 starters that race. Model 5 = the 5 highest True Strength drivers. Strategy 5 = the save/spend pick (top 5 among drivers for whom this is one of their 10 best tracks). Optimal = the best possible 5 by actual points. Each bar is points scored; the badge is how much of optimal you captured.

Charlotte · May 24

84% captured
Model 5
232
Strategy 5
232
Optimal
275
You
Model 5
  • William Byron28
  • Christopher Bell50
  • Ryan Blaney41
  • Denny Hamlin60
  • Tyler Reddick53
Optimal
  • Denny Hamlin60
  • Daniel Suarez55
  • Kyle Larson54
  • Tyler Reddick53
  • Ty Gibbs53

Watkins Glen · May 10

86% captured (you)
You
168
Model 5
97
Strategy 5
149
Optimal
196
You
  • Shane Van Gisbergen68
  • Chris Buescher30
  • Joey Logano10
  • Austin Cindric39
  • Connor Zilisch21
Model 5
  • Chris Buescher30
  • Michael McDowell36
  • Christopher Bell20
  • William Byron1
  • Joey Logano10
Optimal
  • Ty Gibbs42
  • Tyler Reddick41
  • Austin Cindric39
  • Austin Dillon38
  • Michael McDowell36

Texas · May 3

74% captured (you)
You
170
Model 5
119
Strategy 5
119
Optimal
231
You
  • Chase Briscoe20
  • Daniel Suárez36
  • William Byron31
  • Carson Hocevar41
  • Tyler Reddick42
Model 5
  • William Byron31
  • Kyle Larson3
  • Brad Keselowski32
  • Tyler Reddick42
  • Ross Chastain11
Optimal
  • Chase Elliott69
  • Denny Hamlin43
  • Tyler Reddick42
  • Carson Hocevar41
  • Daniel Suarez36

Talladega · Apr 26

68% captured (you)
You
133
Model 5
117
Strategy 5
110
Optimal
197
You
  • Brad Keselowski15
  • Tyler Reddick27
  • Todd Gilliland34
  • Carson Hocevar55
  • William Byron2
Model 5
  • Austin Cindric29
  • Michael McDowell5
  • Kyle Busch27
  • Christopher Bell29
  • Tyler Reddick27
Optimal
  • Chris Buescher50
  • Ross Chastain41
  • Alex Bowman37
  • Chase Elliott35
  • Todd Gilliland34

Kansas · Apr 19

85% captured (you)
You
218
Model 5
215
Strategy 5
215
Optimal
257
You
  • Tyler Reddick71
  • Chase Briscoe38
  • Ty Gibbs38
  • Christopher Bell30
  • Chase Elliott41
Model 5
  • Christopher Bell30
  • Kyle Larson54
  • Denny Hamlin52
  • Chase Elliott41
  • Chase Briscoe38
Optimal
  • Tyler Reddick71
  • Kyle Larson54
  • Denny Hamlin52
  • Chase Elliott41
  • Bubba Wallace39

Bristol · Apr 12

100% captured (you)
You
252
Model 5
226
Strategy 5
226
Optimal
252
You
  • Kyle Larson54
  • Chase Briscoe45
  • Ty Gibbs59
  • Ryan Blaney53
  • Denny Hamlin41
Model 5
  • Kyle Larson54
  • Denny Hamlin41
  • Christopher Bell19
  • Ryan Blaney53
  • Ty Gibbs59
Optimal
  • Ty Gibbs59
  • Kyle Larson54
  • Ryan Blaney53
  • Chase Briscoe45
  • Denny Hamlin41

Martinsville · Mar 29

87% captured (you)
You
220
Model 5
219
Strategy 5
219
Optimal
253
You
  • Kyle Larson30
  • Denny Hamlin56
  • William Byron47
  • Ryan Blaney41
  • Joey Logano46
Model 5
  • Chase Elliott55
  • Kyle Larson30
  • William Byron47
  • Joey Logano46
  • Ryan Blaney41
Optimal
  • Denny Hamlin56
  • Chase Elliott55
  • Ty Gibbs49
  • William Byron47
  • Joey Logano46

Darlington · Mar 22

91% captured (you)
You
225
Model 5
173
Strategy 5
173
Optimal
247
You
  • Chase Briscoe32
  • Tyler Reddick70
  • Brad Keselowski55
  • Denny Hamlin26
  • Chris Buescher42
Model 5
  • Denny Hamlin26
  • Chase Briscoe32
  • Tyler Reddick70
  • William Byron34
  • Bubba Wallace11
Optimal
  • Tyler Reddick70
  • Brad Keselowski55
  • Chris Buescher42
  • Ryan Blaney42
  • Austin Cindric38

Las Vegas · Mar 15

92% captured (you)
You
238
Model 5
200
Strategy 5
200
Optimal
259
You
  • Denny Hamlin70
  • Tyler Reddick30
  • Kyle Larson48
  • Christopher Bell51
  • Ty Gibbs39
Model 5
  • Kyle Larson48
  • Joey Logano22
  • William Byron49
  • Tyler Reddick30
  • Christopher Bell51
Optimal
  • Denny Hamlin70
  • Christopher Bell51
  • William Byron49
  • Kyle Larson48
  • Bubba Wallace41

Phoenix · Mar 8

93% captured (you)
You
225
Model 5
234
Strategy 5
234
Optimal
242
You
  • Denny Hamlin47
  • Ryan Blaney65
  • Kyle Larson36
  • Christopher Bell54
  • Joey Logano23
Model 5
  • Christopher Bell54
  • Denny Hamlin47
  • Ryan Blaney65
  • William Byron32
  • Kyle Larson36
Optimal
  • Ryan Blaney65
  • Christopher Bell54
  • Denny Hamlin47
  • Tyler Reddick39
  • Bubba Wallace37

COTA · Mar 1

79% captured (you)
You
179
Model 5
139
Strategy 5
139
Optimal
228
You
  • Tyler Reddick61
  • William Byron26
  • Ross Chastain13
  • Christopher Bell34
  • Shane Van Gisbergen45
Model 5
  • Tyler Reddick61
  • William Byron26
  • Alex Bowman5
  • Ross Chastain13
  • Christopher Bell34
Optimal
  • Tyler Reddick61
  • Ty Gibbs48
  • Shane Van Gisbergen45
  • Michael McDowell40
  • Christopher Bell34

Atlanta 1 · Feb 22

69% captured (you)
You
162
Model 5
145
Strategy 5
124
Optimal
234
You
  • Kyle Busch7
  • Ryan Blaney31
  • Carson Hocevar38
  • Chase Elliott38
  • Bubba Wallace48
Model 5
  • Ryan Blaney31
  • Joey Logano22
  • Chase Elliott38
  • Daniel Suarez32
  • Brad Keselowski22
Optimal
  • Tyler Reddick67
  • Bubba Wallace48
  • Chase Briscoe43
  • Chase Elliott38
  • Carson Hocevar38

Daytona 1 · Feb 15

65% captured (you)
You
137
Model 5
168
Strategy 5
111
Optimal
211
You
  • Chris Buescher39
  • Ryan Blaney27
  • Joey Logano36
  • John H. Nemechek19
  • Erik Jones16
Model 5
  • Joey Logano36
  • William Byron25
  • Austin Cindric12
  • Tyler Reddick58
  • Bubba Wallace37
Optimal
  • Tyler Reddick58
  • Zane Smith41
  • Chris Buescher39
  • Bubba Wallace37
  • Joey Logano36