This race is complete — these were its matchups. The next race's appear here automatically once NASCAR opens picks (the panel follows the live game).
Recommended side (★) blends Vegas odds (65%) with your True Strength model (35%); the badge is confidence × win-probability, discounted at high-variance tracks. Backtest: the model alone hit 62% on H2H — best when track form holds, near-coin-flip at chaos tracks.
Spends uses where they matter most — every starter is at one of their best remaining tracks.
Highest raw ceiling at this track, even if it burns a use you might rather save.
| Driver | Left |
|---|---|
| Tyler Reddick | 3 |
| Christopher Bell | 4 |
| Denny Hamlin | 5 |
| Kyle Larson | 5 |
| Ryan Blaney | 5 |
| William Byron | 5 |
| Joey Logano | 6 |
| Ty Gibbs | 6 |
| Chase Elliott | 7 |
| Chris Buescher | 7 |
| Chase Briscoe | 7 |
| Brad Keselowski | 8 |
| Bubba Wallace | 9 |
| Ross Chastain | 9 |
| Erik Jones | 9 |
| Kyle Busch | 9 |
| Todd Gilliland | 9 |
| A.J. Allmendinger | 10 |
| Austin Cindric | 10 |
| Zane Smith | 10 |
| Ryan Preece | 10 |
| Austin Dillon | 10 |
| Michael McDowell | 10 |
| Alex Bowman | 10 |
| Cole Custer | 10 |
| Noah Gragson | 10 |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr | 10 |
| Ty Dillon | 10 |
| Josh Berry | 10 |
| Cody Ware | 10 |
| Rk | Driver | Use? | TrueStr | Pts | Score | AvgFn | T5 | T10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Denny Hamlin | ✓ #2/12 | 25.7 | 193 | 73.2 | 6.0 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Kyle Larson | ✓ #3/12 | 9.1 | 151 | 50.0 | 6.3 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Ross Chastain | ✓ #1/12 | 8.6 | 124 | 42.8 | 12.5 | 2 | 2 |
| 5 | Christopher Bell | ✓ #3/11 | 7.3 | 129 | 39.7 | 15.3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Ryan Blaney | ✗ #6/12 | 7.2 | 133 | 42.9 | 11.5 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Chase Elliott | ✓ #5/12 | 7.1 | 143 | 46.7 | 9.5 | 2 | 2 |
| 6 | Joey Logano | ✓ #6/12 | 6.8 | 128 | 46.4 | 8.3 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Tyler Reddick | ✗ #5/11 | 6.1 | 124 | 40.1 | 15.0 | 1 | 2 |
| 9 | William Byron | ✓ #5/12 | 5.7 | 118 | 37.5 | 16.3 | 1 | 2 |
| 19 | Zane Smith | ✓ #2/11 | 4.5 | 62 | 32.3 | 7.5 | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | Bubba Wallace | ✓ #6/12 | 4.2 | 118 | 41.6 | 10.0 | 0 | 2 |
| 12 | Erik Jones | ✓ #2/12 | 3.3 | 95 | 31.8 | 15.0 | 0 | 2 |
| 13 | Kyle Busch | ✓ #7/12 | 2.9 | 93 | 31.4 | 17.3 | 0 | 1 |
| 14 | Chris Buescher | ✓ #7/12 | 2.9 | 86 | 32.4 | 16.8 | 1 | 1 |
| 15 | Austin Cindric | ✓ #4/11 | 2.1 | 86 | 31.2 | 16.8 | 0 | 1 |
| 18 | Ryan Preece | ✓ #8/12 | 1.8 | 63 | 26.3 | 16.0 | 1 | 1 |
| 20 | Austin Dillon | ✗ #12/12 | 1.6 | 60 | 22.1 | 22.0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Brad Keselowski | ✗ #12/12 | 1.6 | 72 | 24.6 | 22.0 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 | Ty Gibbs | ✗ #10/11 | 1.5 | 48 | 21.1 | 22.7 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 | Michael McDowell | ✓ #8/12 | 1.5 | 55 | 20.8 | 24.3 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 | Corey LaJoie | — | 1.5 | 51 | 24.8 | 20.0 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr | ✓ #8/12 | 1.4 | 44 | 13.6 | 26.8 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 | A.J. Allmendinger | ✓ #6/12 | 1.4 | 48 | 32.4 | 15.0 | 0 | 1 |
| 35 | Josh Berry | ✓ #9/11 | 1.4 | 20 | 9.0 | 28.0 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 | Alex Bowman | ✗ #11/12 | 1.3 | 45 | 18.8 | 25.8 | 0 | 0 |
| 32 | Cole Custer | ✓ #3/10 | 1.3 | 29 | 18.0 | 22.5 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 | Noah Gragson | ✓ #7/11 | 1.2 | 40 | 14.6 | 24.7 | 0 | 1 |
| 23 | Chase Briscoe | ✗ #11/11 | 1.0 | 53 | 21.4 | 25.8 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 | Todd Gilliland | ✗ #10/11 | 0.8 | 50 | 22.4 | 24.5 | 0 | 0 |
| 34 | Ty Dillon | ✓ #8/12 | 0.2 | 22 | 8.4 | 29.7 | 0 | 0 |
| 36 | Cody Ware | ✓ #6/10 | 0.2 | 14 | 6.3 | 30.0 | 0 | 0 |
| 39 | J.J. Yeley | — | 0.0 | 0 | 6.4 | 30.3 | 0 | 0 |
| 37 | B.J. McLeod | — | 0.0 | 0 | 2.7 | 32.0 | 0 | 0 |
| 38 | Josh Bilicki | — | 0.0 | 0 | 1.7 | 33.5 | 0 | 0 |