Free NFL Picks Tools
Three tools for the 2026 season, all built on the same calibrated win probabilities: pick weekly winners, plan a survivor pool the smart way, and optimize an upset-weighted pick-6. Free, no login.
112 games priced by the market · 160 covered by the model · updated weekly
How accurate is this?
2019-2025 holdoutWin probabilities come from the closing betting market (de-vigged moneyline) wherever a line is posted, the sharpest weekly winner signal there is. Books only price about four weeks out, so an Elo power model covers the rest of the season. The edge these tools add is the decision math, survivor path planning and pick-6 expected value. See this week's board →
Draft Rankings & Tiers
FreeDraft rankings with model-clustered tiers, a tier-cliff view of where value drops off, and ADP value flags. Ranks in your league's exact scoring when you sign in.
Fantasy Projections
FreeWeekly player projections and rankings (PPR, Half, or Standard) from one model graded against real results every week. QB through DST, with the receipts shown.
Weekly Winners
FreeEvery game on the week, ranked by win probability, with the pick, the confidence tier, the spread, and whether the number comes from the market or the model.
Survivor Optimizer
FreePlans your whole survivor season at once so you don't burn your best teams early. Never reuses a team, shows multiple paths, and re-optimizes the moment you pin a pick or mark a team used.
Pick 6
FreeFor the office pick-'em where each game is worth different points. Enter the week's point values and it finds the 6 picks with the highest expected points, upset-weighted, with a risk dial.