Pick 6
Pick 6 teams, each worth different points if they win. Enter your game's point values below — it finds the 6 with the highest expected points.
Expected points
17.3
from 6 picks
Expected correct
3.3
of 6
All correct
2.5%
perfect week odds
Risk dial
Max EV
win% vs upside
Your 6 picks
HOU vs BUF
50% to win · 6 pts
2.98
exp. pts
MIN vs GB
49% to win · 6 pts
2.95
exp. pts
DAL vs NYG
58% to win · 5 pts
2.89
exp. pts
PIT vs ATL
57% to win · 5 pts
2.85
exp. pts
KC vs DEN
56% to win · 5 pts
2.81
exp. pts
CHI vs CAR
56% to win · 5 pts
2.79
exp. pts
Odds of exactly N correct
0
1%
1
6%
2
19%
3
31%
4
27%
5
13%
6
3%
This week's slate — set the points
defaults are upset-weightedNE1 out
37%
SEA
63%
SFQB
38%
LA1 out
62%
CHI
56%
CAR
44%
TB
35%
CIN
65%
NO1 out
24%
DET1 out
76%
BUF1 out
50%
HOU
50%
BAL
62%
INDQB
38%
CLE1 out
23%
JAX
77%
ATLQB
43%
PIT1 out
57%
NYJQB
45%
TEN
55%
ARI
18%
LAC
82%
MIA
35%
LV2 out
65%
GB
51%
MIN
49%
WAS
34%
PHI1 out
66%
DALQB
58%
NYG3 out
42%
DENQB
44%
KCQB
56%
Expected points = win probability × the points you set. With upset-weighted scoring the optimizer will lean toward correct underdogs, since a lower-probability win pays more. Lock a team to force it in, exclude one to keep it out, and slide toward "play safe" to favor higher win probabilities over raw upside.