WWT. The model’s recommendations, then every market it watches.
| Driver | Model | Market | Best price | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Byron | 13.4% | 5.4% | +1200Bovada | - |
| Tyler Reddick | 9.9% | 5.4% | +1200Bovada | - |
| Kyle Larson | 11.7% | 7.9% | +800Bovada | - |
| Chase Elliott | 6% | 3.1% | +2200Bovada | - |
| Denny Hamlin | 14.4% | 11.8% | +500Bovada | - |
| Bubba Wallace | 4.3% | 2.7% | +2500Bovada | - |
| Ryan Blaney | 7% | 10.1% | +600Bovada | - |
| Christopher Bell | 7.2% | 12.8% | +450Bovada | - |
| Driver | Chance | Fair line |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Blaney | 9.2% | +987 |
| Chase Briscoe | 8.5% | +1070 |
| Denny Hamlin | 8.2% | +1127 |
| Christopher Bell | 7.1% | +1311 |
| Ty Gibbs | 6.3% | +1497 |
| Austin Cindric | 6.0% | +1574 |
| William Byron | 4.8% | +1965 |
| Joey Logano | 4.1% | +2351 |
| Driver | Chance | Fair line |
|---|---|---|
| Chase Briscoe | 7.5% | +1227 |
| Ryan Blaney | 7.2% | +1286 |
| Denny Hamlin | 6.5% | +1444 |
| Christopher Bell | 6.0% | +1567 |
| Ty Gibbs | 5.8% | +1611 |
| Austin Cindric | 5.0% | +1891 |
| William Byron | 4.5% | +2132 |
| Joey Logano | 3.8% | +2566 |
Graded forward from Jul 26.
Stake is sized by edge and price against a 100 unit bankroll. Kalshi results are net of the trading fee.
Model = the site’s own probability; market = the venue’s price with the margin removed. Stage winner shows the model’s fair line, since no book we track posts that market. All prices are American odds, best venue shown, Kalshi net of its trading fee. Chance is the market’s probability where the model makes no call. Value is the model’s edge in the markets it calls (top driver per manufacturer, fastest lap) and the venues’ disagreement elsewhere, so it needs both venues posted there. Every recommendation locks before the green flag and grades in the record above. Stake is units against a 100 unit bankroll. Informational only, not betting advice. 21+. 1-800-GAMBLER.